If you think carefully, you’ll realize that the world we live in today is dependent heavily on the functioning of machines and systems. Almost everything from a light switch to a smartphone, from an elevator to a car, is a machine or a system that controls a machine. However, any machine is subject to wear and tear.
What happens to a life so dependent on machines, when that particular machine breaks down? This is precisely why there’s a dire need for predictive maintenance with machine learning.
Let’s take the example of a taxi company to understand this. If you want the cars to keep running on schedule and not break-down during peak working hours, you’d want to ensure proper maintenance of all the moving parts. Generally, there are two thought processes when it comes to eradicating break-down or failure.
You can either be conservative about it and schedule periodic maintenance. In this case, you are less likely to have a complete understanding regarding the lifecycle of your machine and factors which realistically cause the break-down. This case is also likely to be more cost intensive since the process does not focus on extracting the maximum value from the machine before scheduling maintenance. So, for example, you’ll probably change the tires before they complete their life cycle and change the engine oil before it is thoroughly utilized. As a result, you’ll end up spending more on maintenance.
The second thought process is to be calculative and base your decisions on predictive data analytics. Predictive maintenance uses machine learning to learn from historical data and use live data to analyze failure patterns. Since conservative procedures result in resource wastage, predictive maintenance using machine learning looks for optimum resource utilization and predicting failure before they happen. As a result, predictive maintenance avoids both extremes and looks to find the perfect middle ground.
But how you do find the perfect middle ground? Which machine learning technique do you use? In this article, we look at how you can find the right techniques that can be utilized, in order to successfully carry out predictive maintenance using machine learning.
The first step should be to collect data. The machine or system whose failure is to be predicted needs to be monitored at all times. The data generated from the monitoring system will need to be segregated to understand the various conditions and factors affecting the machine. So, for example, to understand car engine failure, the sensors should record temperature, moisture, oil level, oil density, etc. This information will provide the impetus to track and predict the failure pattern and cause. Data for predictive maintenance is time series data.
When setting the sensors to monitor the system, here are some of the questions which the data should look to address:
However, in real-life scenarios, this is hardly the case. Most organizations, track data on their own. As a result, by the time the data scientists arrive, a significant amount of data has already been collected and restarting the data collection process could significantly set back the entire process.
As a result, instead of collecting data based on a pre-decided model, a model is framed in order to best suit the data at hand.
Additional Read – 17 Top Use Cases of Predictive Analytics
In order to frame a predictive maintenance model, there are few essential pieces of information which needs to be considered.
Now that we have the required information, we will move onto deciding which modeling technique will fit the data set best. The desired output and the available conditions will also be considered when deciding on the modeling technique. There are three main machine learning techniques which can be considered. Then based on fitment, one can take the final call.
Type of Data Needed – For this kind of model, both static and historical data are needed. Each and every event needs to be labeled and logged. Numerous events of each type of failure are available in the dataset. This dataset is then used to train the model on how to predict possible failures.
Prerequisites – It is assumed that the static characteristics can be used to predict the failure.
The result – This model provides the output in the form of a number of days left before a failure event takes place. This is also known as Remaining Useful Life (RUL).
It can be extremely challenging to create a model that can accurately predict the lifetime of a machine. However, in reality, such a model is not needed. The maintenance team only needs to know if the machine will fail anytime soon. In order to do so, we can use the classification model to predict a failure within the next ’N’ days or cycles (where N = any number).
Type of Data Needed – This model will also require historical and static data. It will also be dependent on labeled and tagged events. As a result, the data characteristics are the same as Technique 1.
Prerequisites – The prerequisites are very similar to Technique 1. However, there are specific differences as listed below:
In both the previous techniques, historical data, and static data is used to train the model. It helps to understand the relationship between normal time characteristics and failure event characteristics. However, how many failure events is the company willing to digest in order to collect data? In the case of mission-critical systems, failure cases are limited. As a result, a different strategy needs to be adopted.
Type of Data Needed – Both static and historical data is available but events are not labeled and logged, or they are not available.
Prerequisites – It is assumed that normal behavior can be identified from the data set and the difference between normal and failure event can be distinguished.
In essence, there’s no one-shoe-fits-all strategy here. Each and every project needs to be handled according to the available situation. The first step should be to understand the system, the problems, the available condition surrounding the machine/system and then frame a model in accordance with the required result.
At Maruti Techlabs, we are experienced in advanced predictive modeling and deploying large-scale big data pipelines. With a team of seasoned data science and machine learning professionals – we design, implement and industrialize machine learning and AI based solutions for our clients across a myriad of industries. We amalgamate tech skills with business advice, and assist enterprises in building their own data driven capabilities. Interested in what we can do for you? Feel free to contact us or drop a note on firstname.lastname@example.org
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